Pre-tourney Rankings
Big South
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
236 VMI 0.0%   15 - 12 11 - 5 15 - 12 11 - 5 -4.2      -0.2 186 -4.0 276 89.0 2 -3.9 232 -3.5 3
238 Coastal Carolina 100.0%   16   18 - 12 11 - 5 18 - 12 11 - 5 -4.3      -5.9 307 +1.6 128 70.5 111 -3.3 219 -2.6 2
242 Charleston Southern 0.0%   9 - 18 6 - 10 9 - 18 6 - 10 -4.4      +0.2 172 -4.6 292 69.8 129 -9.6 305 -11.0 9
244 UNC Asheville 0.0%   14 - 15 10 - 6 14 - 15 10 - 6 -4.5      +1.1 143 -5.6 315 75.9 29 -4.7 251 -4.4 5
249 Winthrop 0.0%   17 - 13 10 - 6 17 - 13 10 - 6 -4.7      -1.2 202 -3.5 264 66.2 214 -3.2 217 -4.5 6
261 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   15 - 15 10 - 6 15 - 15 10 - 6 -5.5      -4.7 284 -0.8 201 68.6 156 -5.8 260 -4.3 4
270 High Point 0.0%   14 - 14 12 - 4 14 - 14 12 - 4 -5.9      -0.4 187 -5.5 312 63.7 279 -4.5 246 -1.7 1
274 Radford 0.0%   18 - 12 10 - 6 18 - 12 10 - 6 -6.0      +0.8 156 -6.8 331 70.1 120 -4.3 242 -5.3 7
297 Liberty 0.0%   8 - 21 5 - 11 8 - 21 5 - 11 -8.9      -3.8 270 -5.2 306 64.9 252 -12.5 324 -13.3 10
328 Campbell 0.0%   9 - 19 6 - 10 9 - 19 6 - 10 -12.2      -4.1 276 -8.2 340 61.9 313 -10.7 317 -10.8 8
349 Longwood 0.0%   4 - 24 3 - 13 4 - 24 3 - 13 -16.8      -6.8 318 -10.0 348 71.7 86 -16.4 343 -15.9 11
350 Presbyterian 0.0%   4 - 26 2 - 14 4 - 26 2 - 14 -17.6      -7.1 325 -10.5 349 65.5 240 -18.0 347 -17.9 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
VMI 2.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 2.0 100.0
Charleston Southern 8.0 100.0
UNC Asheville 4.0 100.0
Winthrop 4.0 100.0
Gardner-Webb 4.0 100.0
High Point 1.0 100.0
Radford 4.0 100.0
Liberty 10.0 100.0
Campbell 8.0 100.0
Longwood 11.0 100.0
Presbyterian 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
VMI 11 - 5 100.0
Coastal Carolina 11 - 5 100.0
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 100.0
UNC Asheville 10 - 6 100.0
Winthrop 10 - 6 100.0
Gardner-Webb 10 - 6 100.0
High Point 12 - 4 100.0
Radford 10 - 6 100.0
Liberty 5 - 11 100.0
Campbell 6 - 10 100.0
Longwood 3 - 13 100.0
Presbyterian 2 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
VMI
Coastal Carolina
Charleston Southern
UNC Asheville
Winthrop
Gardner-Webb
High Point 100.0% 100.0
Radford
Liberty
Campbell
Longwood
Presbyterian


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   3.8 96.3
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 100.0% 57.5% 66.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 66.9% 0.7 33.1 66.9
2nd Round 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0